July 24, 2017

3 Black Swans

1. Yellen overshoots
2. ECB runs out of bullets
3. Chinese debt meltdown

- John Mauldin

July 23, 2017

How the yield curve forecasts recession

Very steep yield curve - inflation is likely to accelerate
Inverted yield curve - predicts coming recession
When inversion ends and begins to steep again - economic recovery, great time to buy bonds

- Rob Insana , Message of the Markets

Note: this warning sign may have become surpressed under the Fed's artificial low interest rate policy